Friday, October 24, 2014

Is it "for the people of Asia to ... uphold the security of Asia” ?

Having just hosted and concluded a very successful multilateral discussion in GUASA Roundtable 2 which included several US security experts, on sovereign US soil on Guam, in the heart of the Western Asia Pacific, it was surprising to read that, at a conference in May 2014, Chinese President Xi Jinping is quoted as saying, “It is for the people of Asia to run the affairs of Asia, solve the problems of Asia, and uphold the security of Asia.”

But, that was just one of many surprising statements made by Elizabeth C. Economy in her article, China’s Imperial President, in the November-December 2014 Foreign Affairs magazine.

It is worth the time clicking the link at the title above and reading the full piece. Here you can find only extracts, a brief teaser or two, which means this post lacks the context and explanations you can only get by reading the whole article.
Chinese President Xi Jinping has articulated a simple but powerful vision: the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. It is a patriotic call to arms, drawing inspiration from the glories of China’s imperial past and the ideals of its socialist present to promote political unity at home and influence abroad. After just two years in office, Xi has advanced himself as a transformative leader, adopting an agenda that proposes to reform, if not revolutionize, political and economic relations not only within China but also with the rest of the world.

If successful, Xi’s reforms could yield a corruption-free, politically cohesive, and economically powerful one-party state with global reach: a Singapore on steroids. But there is no guarantee that the reforms will be as transformative as Xi hopes.

The United States and the rest of the world cannot afford to wait and see how his reforms play out. The United States should be ready to embrace some of Xi’s initiatives as opportunities for international collaboration while treating others as worrisome trends that must be stopped before they are solidified.

In his efforts to promote ideological unity, Xi has labeled ideas from abroad that challenge China’s political system as unpatriotic and even dangerous. Along these lines, Beijing has banned academic research and teaching on seven topics: universal values, civil society, citizens’ rights, freedom of the press, mistakes made by the Communist Party, the privileges of capitalism, and the independence of the judiciary.

The centerpiece of Xi’s political reforms is his effort to restore the moral authority of the Communist Party. He has argued that failing to address the party’s endemic corruption could lead to the demise of not only the party but also the Chinese state.

Xi has infused his economic agenda with the same nationalist -- even xenophobic -- sentiment that permeates his political agenda. His aggressive anticorruption and antimonopoly campaigns have targeted multinational corporations making products that include powdered milk, medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, and auto parts.

Along with new infrastructure, Xi also wants to establish new institutions to support China’s position as a regional and global leader. He has helped create a new development bank, operated by the BRICS countries -- Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa -- to challenge the primacy of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. And he has advanced the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, which could enable China to become the leading financer of regional development.

Xi has also promoted new regional security initiatives. In addition to the already existing Shanghai Cooperation Organization, a Chinese-led security institution that includes Russia and four Central Asian states, Xi wants to build a new Asia-Pacific security structure that would exclude the United States. Speaking at a conference in May 2014, Xi underscored the point: “It is for the people of Asia to run the affairs of Asia, solve the problems of Asia, and uphold the security of Asia.”

Xi’s nationalist rhetoric and assertive military posture pose a direct challenge to U.S. interests in the region and call for a vigorous response. Washington’s “rebalance,” or “pivot,” to Asia represents more than simply a response to China’s more assertive behavior. It also reflects the United States’ most closely held foreign policy values: freedom of the seas, the air, and space; free trade; the rule of law; and basic human rights. Without a strong pivot, the United States’ role as a regional power will diminish, and Washington will be denied the benefits of deeper engagement with many of the world’s most dynamic economies.

Washington should resist framing its relationship with China as a competition. Treating China as a competitor or foe merely feeds Xi’s anti-Western narrative, undermines those in China pushing for moderation, and does little to advance bilateral cooperation and much to diminish the stature of the United States. Instead, the White House should pay particular attention to the evolution of Xi’s policies, taking advantage of those that could strengthen its relationship with China and pushing back against those that undermine U.S. interests. In the face of uncertainty over China’s future, U.S. policymakers must remain flexible and fleet-footed.



At the 2014 Shangra-La Dialogue in Singapore, Fourth Plenary Session, Masashi Nishihara, President of the Research Institute for Peace and Security in Japan, who was one of the participants in the GUASA Roundtable 2, asked the question of Lieutenant-General Wang Guanzhong, Deputy Chief, General Staff Department, People’s Liberation Army, if President Xi Jinping’s 21 May speech in Shanghai meant to exclude the US from Asian security discussions. The question was skirted.

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Conclusion of historic GUASA Roundtable 2

The GUASA Roundtable 2, Asia Pacific Security: Regional Commons, Sovereign Interests, successfully concluded October 17, 2014.

Security analysts from Australia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines (ROP), South Korea (ROK), Taiwan (ROC), Vietnam, and the USA met on Guam in the U.S. Mariana Islands, and discussed with candor their common and individual security perceptions.


The discussions were aided by presentations from US military analysts and planners, as well as by a first hand tour of local military installations with briefings from base commanders.

The historical nature of the Roundtable was uniformly remarked upon. For Vietnam, this was the first ever event of its kind attended by its representative. For Taiwan, gratitude was expressed for being invited, as it was a rare opportunity to participate in discussions of this nature with its neighbors.  For Korean and Japanese interests, the discussions were frank yet friendly, unattended by home country political agenda. 

For all of them, this was the first time US representatives attended such a multinational discussion with Asia Pacific nation experts, hosted by US interests on US soil in Asia.

Many of the experts, even the seasoned ones, noted that this was their first time to visit Guam, and were very much impressed by the facilities and hospitality, which made for productive exchange of views, discussion and understanding. There was universal agreement that Guam, located as it is in the middle of the Western Pacific, provides an ideal and conducive place for discussion between themselves, and with the United States government. They all expressed a keen desire to repeat and expand the experience.

These comments were all the more remarkable for the fact that GUASA was unable to afford payments to any of the participants. The benefit they saw, and realized, in the forum and discussion was professional, not monetary.

GUASA again expresses its great honor and satisfaction to have played host to such an illustrious, hard working and dedicated collection of renowned and rising national experts of the region.

GUASA will post written presentation papers and power point materials as they are made available for public distribution. We hope to present a Final Report of GUASA Roundtable 2 by early in the New Year 2015, and to formally present it to the leaders of the USA in Washington, D.C. soon thereafter.




Other reading:
National security experts attend roundtable session
GUASA roundtable highlights international cooperation

Thursday, October 9, 2014

Announcing GUASA Roundtable 2, October 16 and 17, 2014

GUASA proudly announces it is hosting another Roundtable on October 16 and 17, 2014, 
at the Hotel Nikko Guam, Tumon Bay, Guam.



The Theme of this Roundtable is: 
Asia Pacific Security: Regional Commons, Sovereign Interests


Twenty Speakers and Participants are coming from Australia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines (ROP), South Korea (ROK), Taiwan (ROC), Vietnam, and the USA

This marks the first ever holding of a meeting of this caliber and subject matter discussing US and Asian security interests on US soil in Asia.



Useful Links:

See the Program here.

See the Biographies of all Speakers and Participants here.

Register to attend here.




With 20 Speakers and Participants coming from the U.S.A. and around the Pacific, GUASA is especially indebted to our Double Gold Sponsor, UNITED AIRLINES.



See the individual Speakers and Participants below:

Australia:
Hayley Channer
Japan:
Dr. Masashi Nishihara
Vice Adm. (Ret.) Yoji Koda
Tsuneo "Nabe" Watanabe
Tetsuo Kotani
Malaysia:
Capt Martin A. Sebastian, Royal Malaysian Navy (retired)
Philippines:
Professor Renato Cruz de Castro PH D
South Korea:
Dr. Chang Hyung Lee
Dr. Dong-ryul Kim
Taiwan:
Dr. York W. Chen
Vietnam:
Dr. Hoang Anh Tuan
USA:
The Hon. Dr. Patrick M. Cronin
Paul S. Giarra
Wallace "Chip" Gregson
Grant Newsham
Jack Sotherland
Timothy ("Tim") A. Walton
Robert Mihalik
Capt. Glenn A. Shepard
Col. Kristian E. Smith

Other reading:
Think tanks set to discuss security at GUASA roundtable
Guam-US-Asia Security Alliance to hold 2nd round-table conference
Conference focusing on Pacific security

Saturday, January 4, 2014

Final Report of the 2013 GUASA Roundtable

The Final Report of the GUASA Roundtable, held September 5-6, 2013 is now available in digital pdf format at this link.

GUASA again thanks Carl Ford, Paul Giarra, and Bob Mihalik for their work in compiling, reporting and editing the report of the discussions and presentations of the conference.

Print copies will be made available as soon as print arrangements and costings are finalized. Please contact GUASA at GuamRoundTable@gmail.com for more information.

Sunday, November 17, 2013

HASC upping oversight of rebalance to maintain focus

Congress Plans Series of Asia Pacific Oversight Hearings October 30, 2013
Almost two years after the Obama administration released a new “strategic guidance” that prioritized a shift of diplomatic and military focus to the Asia-Pacific region, Capitol Hill is finally taking notice.

And unlike the crippling partisan gridlock that makes budgets unpassable and recently shut down the federal government, legislators are approaching the issue in a bipartisan fashion. A group of Democratic and Republican members of the House Armed Services Committee (HASC) announced on Oct. 29 that the committee is kicking off what they’re calling the “Asia Pacific Oversight Series” to start digging into the White House’s strategic rebalance, and how Congress can provide oversight.

The group of lawmakers said that between now and early 2014 they’ll hold at least five hearings on economic security and partner capacity-building efforts in the region.

“The president wanted to shift to the Pacific, and we have to get out ahead of it” Rep. Buck McKeon, the Republican HASC chairman, told reporters. The top Democrat on the committee, Rep. Adam Smith, cautioned that although China is a major global power and that almost anything the United States does in the region will be viewed through the lens of US/Chinese strategic competition, the effort isn’t all about China.

The committee will focus mainly on providing oversight on the Obama administration’s progress in building partner capacity and supporting allies though joint military training activities. “We want to build as strong an alliance system as we can, and about China, I think we need to view them as a partner as well,” Smith said. We need to work together.” The Republican chairman of the seapower and projection forces subcommittee, Rep. Randy Forbes, added, “the biggest thing for us is presence. If we have presence there” the entire region is more stable.

Forbes was also critical of the rollout of the AirSeaBattle concept, which focuses on naval and air power and which some have misinterpreted as a plan for war with China. “There was a kind of throwing out of that concept but not really an education process about what that meant,” he said.

He also lamented that Washington “is losing its ability to develop long-term strategies,” and that he hopes the HASC will be able to focus the administration’s thinking on how to operate in the Pacific region. Over the long term, “what you have to measure is not just what you think the threats are going to be” but also measure the capabilities that our allies and competitors will have in 10 or 20 years, he said. “And that’s what I think we’re not doing.”
Time For Congress To Rebalance On Asia-Pacific: Reps. Forbes & Hanabusa
Rep. Colleen Hanabusa, a respected Democrat from Hawaii with a strong parochial and strategic interest in the topic, joins Forbes to press the call for more congressional focus on one of the fundamental strategic issues with which our country is grappling.

we believe the time has come for Congress to play a leading role in shifting our attention towards the long-range trends that stand to affect our security interests. Primary among these are the shifting security dynamics that have been occurring across the Asia-Pacific region. More specifically, we feel the rise of Chinese military modernization, and the geostrategic impact this trend stands to have on our friends, allies and trading partners throughout the region, calls for a thorough oversight effort by the House Armed Services Committee.

The Obama Administration acknowledged the need for our government to pay closer attention to the Asia-Pacific two years ago with its stated policy to begin to shift the nation’s attention to the region. However, we feel the Congress has been slow to conduct a ‘rebalance’ of its own. This series aims to stimulate such a process, not only because the Obama Administration has not fully supported its rhetoric with resources, but because we know this policy will only be successful with strong congressional input and support.

At its core, this series will seek to enhance an understanding of Asia-Pacific security issues for both members of Congress and the general public. To be successful, we will rely on government witnesses and some of the best independent thinkers across the country to increase our understanding of the military, economic, and political trends affecting the long-term security outlook in the region.

In addition to education and oversight, we aim to use this series to play a leading role in encouraging the Obama Administration to build a multifaceted strategy for Asia-Pacific. For instance, we recently sent a letter to National Security Advisor Susan Rice urging her to conduct a formal, interagency strategy review for the Asia-Pacific. We believe an Asia-Pacific Strategy Review is required not only so that departments and agencies across the federal government can have the authority to think and act creatively within a robust interagency system, but also to communicate to Congress the breadth of resources that will be required to implement this strategy.

First, we acknowledge that Congress has an important role to play across the spectrum when it comes to policy in the Asia-Pacific, including trade policy, diplomatic outreach, alliance management, and sustaining our defense posture and engagement. But given our position as members of the House Armed Services Committee, we have chosen to focus on the balance of military power and questions related to maintaining stability in the region.

Second, this series is about understanding the broad security dynamics of the region — including everything from our alliances, to maritime disputes, to the impact of the China’s military modernization over the last 15 years – and how our government should look to best posture itself to respond in the years ahead. This is not about pushing any one perspective that China is an enemy or threat to the United States. To the contrary, we believe that while there are elements of the U.S.-China relationship that are competitive, there are also many opportunities for cooperation we should explore.

Amongst a tide of recent political turmoil, we are proud to be able to work together on this effort. Although it is often said, it is worth repeating here: U.S. policy towards Asia-Pacific remains a truly bipartisan effort. We look to extend this positive story as our Nation continues the task of building a durable diplomatic, economic, and security architecture across the Asia-Pacific region.

Sunday, October 6, 2013

Comparing the US-Japan and US-ROK Joint Consultative Agreements

The US-Japan Joint Consultative Agreement is at this link.

The US-ROK Joint Consultative Agreement is at this link.

Rebalancing Alliances: The Forgotten Side of the US Pivot

In the past two days, the United States has released important alliance statements with two of its most prominent East Asian partners. The first followed the annual meeting of the U.S.-Japan Security Consultative Committee; the second the U.S.-ROK Security Consultative Meeting.
Read more at the article link.

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Link to Roundtable presentation visuals

We now have a link to all the power point and other visuals used by the presenters at the Roundtable on September 5 and 6, 2013. Click here.
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